Our market research indicates that there are approximately 1,2 billion 4 or more wheeled vehicles on the road throughout the world today. Approximately 15% (or 300 million) of these are commercial vehicles. In 2014 the total number of new vehicles sold worldwide amounted to approximately 89.7 million, of which 74% (67.5 million) were passenger vehicles and the remaining 26% (22.2 million) were commercial vehicles. The CAGR for new vehicle sales for the period 2005-2013 was 4.6% for passenger cars and 1.4% for commercial vehicles respective. As can be expected, the global financial crisis also impacted heavily on commercial vehicle sales, which has now regained former growth levels.
A recent market analysis forecast hybrid sales to constitute in excess of 10% (or approximately 8 million vehicles) of annual sales by 2020.
We see the market potential of MISER as being the new transmission and energy recovery technology universally ﬁtted to all forms of motorized vehicles and transportation systems on an international basis.
Although the most eﬃcient use of MISER technology would be installation in new vehicles, due to the optimization of engine size and output and the design of the regenerative braking system, a version of MISER can also be retroﬁtted. We expect the commercial transport sector to be the main potential buyer of retroﬁt equipment as fuel costs comprise the biggest percentages of direct operating costs in that sector.
Therefore, our initial focus for the retroﬁt business will be in the trucking sector, as units are much easier to install because of a less conﬁned component ‘packaging’; added to that, because ﬂeet owners’ costs are mainly made up of fuel purchases, the ROI could be as little as 6‐9 months.
To this eﬀect, Ducere Holdings is currently working closely with ﬂeet owners and specialist heavy vehicle designers and manufacturers. The truck ﬂeet owner would have the choice of the HTS system where the existing gearbox is replaced by the retroﬁt unit incorporating hydraulic energy recovery, or the HKS version, including regenerative braking, energy storage and deployment.
There are some major players in the hybrid vehicle market, the best known being Toyota and its luxury brand Lexus, as well as Honda. Electric vehicles are now starting to form part of mainstream motoring too, with oﬀerings from Nissan, BMW and the VW Group all currently available in various markets.
While the world’s focus is on pure electric and electric hybrid vehicles, limited attention is being focused on the hydraulic hybrid solution, a ﬁeld in which MISER aims to be the leader. Unlike electrical systems, which are still prevented from scaling because of technology constraints, MISER can comfortably be ﬁtted to a range of vehicles from a small car up to very large excavator. This gives us a distinct advantage as it allows us to participate in a far wider range of sectors.
From a cost point of view, the worst case scenario is that producing a new MISER‐equipped vehicle will be comparable to the production cost of the same vehicle ﬁtted with a traditional automatic gearbox. This is clearly demonstrated by comparing the components needed in both transmissions. A MISER does not have a torque converter, and it has fewer gears (MISER typically has one planetary set, where a conventional automatic has two to four sets). As for clutches, brakes, control systems and housing, both gearboxes have similar amounts of each. The only additional items for a MISER‐equipped vehicle are a single hydraulic pump/motor, accumulator and a reservoir. None of these items is particularly expensive in volume production.
A MISER transmission incorporated into a new vehicle design with a small capacity engine will undoubtedly add to its performance and fuel saving abilities. Furthermore, the MISER system will not add to the overall vehicle cost (and could even reduce cost); its smaller size and lighter weight will also mean a more eﬃcient drivetrain, despite the inclusion of the pump/motor, accumulator and reservoir.
International Enviroment Viewpoint
During March 2010 the ﬁrst international technical regulations for electric and hybrid cars were agreed on in Geneva by the UNECE (United Nations Economic Commissions of Europe). 41 countries agreed on standards, which will be applicable internationally, to ensure that global sales will be possible.
The USA in particular has set high standards to support the drive to save the environment. The US government plans to support these standards by investing in hybrid cars as ﬂeet vehicles and by introducing subsidies ‐ up to $7 500 towards a purchase of an electric vehicle. California, the 12th largest emitter of greenhouse gases, has set a global warming act in place. The aim is to cut California’s emissions by 25% by 2020 with an enforceable cap for top polluters.
When the incentives and regulations are considered, one can deduce that a major market with huge opportunities for those who are positioned correctly is on the rise. Ducere Holdings with the MISER Hydraulic Hybrid Transmission is exactly such a company.
For Interested Parties
The MISER project is now well developed and we are busy completing the first three pilot projects, and will soon be ready to commence commercialization. Collaboration and co-operation opportunities are available; this is the perfect time for interested parties to become involved with MISER. Please contact Ducere Holdings for more detailed information.